Jeff Lukas

  • Lukas Climate Research and Consulting

    Jeff Lukas

    For over 20 years, Jeff Lukas has worked with water resource managers and other decision-makers in the West to help them understand, quantify, and prepare for climate risks.

    He has been involved with Western Water Assessment since 2004: first, as a funded investigator (tree-ring paleohydrology) for five years, then as full-time research and program staff for eleven years, and since Fall 2020 as an affiliate, as he continues his climate-service efforts under the banner of Lukas Climate Research and Consulting. 

    Jeff was the lead author of the 2014 WWA report Climate Change in Colorado, and was the co-lead, with Liz Payton, of the 2020 WWA report Colorado River Basin Climate and Hydrology: State of the Science. He is currently co-developing a Colorado River Science Wiki (coloradoriverscience.org) to help make the science relevant to basin resource management more accessible to decision makers, and is also developing a users' guide to climate-change web portals and related resources.

Publications

  • Lukas, J., and E. Payton, eds. (2020). Colorado River Basin Climate and Hydrology: State of the Science. Western Water Assessment, University of Colorado Boulder.   doi: 10.25810/3hcv-w477

  • Arens, Seth, Jeff Lukas, and Lineke Woelders (2020). Climate, snow, streamflow, and drought information resources for the Mountain West. Western Water Assessment. Climate information two-pager 2020.pdf  

  • Finnessey, T., M. Hayes, J, Lukas, and M. Svoboda (2016). Using climate information for drought planning. Climate Research, Vol. 70, Pages 251-263   doi: 10.3354/cr01406

  • Lukas, J., E. McNie, T. Bardsley, J. Deems, and N. Molotch (2016). Snowpack Monitoring for Streamflow Forecasting and Drought Planning. Western Water Assessment report to NIDIS. Lukasetal2016.pdf  

  • Woodhouse, C. A., J. J. Lukas, K. Morino, D. M. Meko, and K. K. Hirschboeck (2016). Using the past to plan for the future – The value of paleoclimate reconstructions for water resource planning. In Water Policy and Planning in a Variable and Changing Climate, edited by K. Miller, A. Hamlet, D. Kenney, and K. Redmond. CRC Press, 452 pages   doi.org/10.1201/b19534

  • Gordon, E., and D. Ojima, eds. (2015). Colorado Climate Change Vulnerability Study. A report submitted to the Colorado Energy Office. Western Water Assessment and Colorado State University. GordonOjima2015.pdf  

  • Lukas, J., Barsugli, J., Doesken, N., Rangwala, I., and K. Wolter, (2014). Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation. A Report for the Colorado Water Conservation Board, Western Water Assessment, 114 pp. Climate_Change_CO_Report_2014_FINAL.pdf  

  • Lukas, J., Wolter, K., Mahoney, K., Barsugli, J., Doesken, N., Ryan, W., Rangwala, I., Livneh, B., Gordon, E., Hoerling, M., and G. Kiladis (2013). Severe Flooding on the Colorado Front Range, September 2013: A Preliminary Assessment. Western Water Assessment. Severe Flooding on the Colorado Front Range.pdf  
  • Lukas, J., (2013). September 2013 Front Range Flooding Event: Weather, Hydrologic Impacts, Context of a Changing Climate, Implications. Colorado Water, 30:6.   
  • Hoerling, M. P., M. Dettinger, K. Wolter, J. Lukas, J. Eischeid, R. Nemani, B. Liebmann, and K. E. Kunkel (2013). Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 74–100. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press.   https://swcarr.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/ACCSWUS_Ch5_0.pdf

  • Lukas, J., L. Wade, B. Rajagopalan (2012). Paleohydrology of the Lower Colorado River Basin and Implications for Water Supply Availability. Colorado Water Institute - Completion Report CR223, 37 pp.   
  • Lukas, J., L. Wade, B. Rajagopalan (2012). Paleohydrology of the Lower Colorado River Basin and Implications for Water Supply Availability. Colorado Water, Vol. 29, No. 6. November/December 2012 , 3 pp.   

  • Gray, S.T., J. J. Lukas, and C. A. Woodhouse (2011). Millennial-Length Records of Streamflow from Three Major Upper Colorado River Tributaries. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47(4): 702-712.   
  • Klein, R., E. S. Gordon, W. R. Travis, J. J. Lukas, B. Udall, K. Averyt, J. Vogel, and J. Smith (2011). Colorado Climate Preparedness Project Final Report. Report to the State of Colorado. 108 pp. Colorado Climate Preparedness Project Final Report.pdf  

  • Averyt, K., J. Lukas, C. Alvord, J. Barsugli, and N. Doesken (2009). The “Dealing with Drought: Adapting to a Changing Climate” Workshops: Report to the Colorado Water Conservation Board.   
  • Gangopadhyay, S., B. Harding, B. Rajagopalan, J. Lukas, and T. Fulp (2009). A Non-Parametric Approach for Paleohydrologic Reconstruction of Annual Streamflow Ensembles. Water Resources Research, 45, W06417.   
  • Rice, J., C. Woodhouse, and J. Lukas (2009). Science and decision-making: Water management and tree-ring data in the western United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 45(5): 1248-1259.   

  • Meko, D., C. Woodhouse, C. Baisan, T. Knight, J. Lukas, M. Hughes, and M. Salzer (2007). Medieval Drought in the Upper Colorado River basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L10705.   

  • Woodhouse, C. and J. Lukas (2006). Drought, Tree Rings, and Water Resource Management in Colorado. Canadian Water Resources Journal, 31(4): 1-14.   
  • Woodhouse, C. and J. Lukas (2006). Multi-century tree-ring reconstructions of Colorado streamflow for water resource planning. Climatic Change, 78: 293-315.   

  • Pielke, R. A., N. Doesken, O. Bliss, T. Green, C. Chaffin, J.D. Salas, C.A. Woodhouse, J.J. Lukas, and K. Wolter (2005). Drought in 2002 in Colorado: An Unprecedented Drought or a Routine Drought? Pure and Applied Geophysics, 162: 1455-1479.   

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