Jeff Lukas
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Jeff Lukas
For over 20 years, Jeff Lukas has worked with water resource managers and other decision-makers in the West to help them understand, quantify, and prepare for climate risks.
He has been involved with Western Water Assessment since 2004: first, as a funded investigator (tree-ring paleohydrology) for five years, then as full-time research and program staff for eleven years, and since Fall 2020 as an affiliate, as he continues his climate-service efforts under the banner of Lukas Climate Research and Consulting.
Jeff was the lead author of the 2014 WWA report Climate Change in Colorado, and was the co-lead, with Liz Payton, of the 2020 WWA report Colorado River Basin Climate and Hydrology: State of the Science. He is currently co-developing a Colorado River Science Wiki (coloradoriverscience.org) to help make the science relevant to basin resource management more accessible to decision makers, and is also developing a users' guide to climate-change web portals and related resources.
Projects
Publications
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Payton, E. and J. Lukas (2021). Colorado River basin climate and hydrology state of the science: A synthesis report to support water planning and management. Colorado Water, 38:1. Climate Change and Adaptation Issue of Colorado Water, June 2021
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Woelders, L., J. Lukas, E. Payton, and B. Duncan (2020). Snowpack Monitoring in the Rocky Mountain West: A User Guide. Western Water Assessment. Snowpack_Monitoring_in_the_Rocky_Mountain_West_A_User_Guide.pdf
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Lukas, J., and E. Payton, eds. (2020). Colorado River Basin Climate and Hydrology: State of the Science. Western Water Assessment, University of Colorado Boulder. ColoRiver_StateOfScience_WWA_2020_FullReport_hi-res.pdf doi: 10.25810/3hcv-w477
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Arens, Seth, Jeff Lukas, and Lineke Woelders (2020). Climate, snow, streamflow, and drought information resources for the Mountain West. Western Water Assessment. Climate information two-pager 2020.pdf
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Yocum, H.M., J. Lukas, and U. Rick. 2018. Spring 2018 MODIS-based spatial SWE product for the Intermountain West region: Feedback from beta testers. Western Water Assessment, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, University of Colorado Boulder. MODIS_based_SWE_product_feedback_report.pdf
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Dilling, L., K. Clifford, E. McNie, J. Lukas, and U. Rick (2018). Making Research More Usable at CU Boulder. Western Water Assessment Report, February, 26 pp. Making Research More Usable at CU Boulder.pdf
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Lukas, J. (2018). A Brief Overview of Drought Monitoring Indicators and Resources for Colorado. Colorado Water, 35 (2) 22-25.
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Mahoney, J., J. Lukas, and M. Mueller (2018). Considering Climate Change in the Estimation of Extreme Precipitation for Dam Safety. VI of the Colorado – New Mexico Regional Extreme Precipitation Study, November, 57 pp. Considering Climate Change in the Estimation of Extreme Precipitation for Dam Safety.pdf
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Lukas, J., M. Hobbins, and I. Rangwala (2017). The EDDI User Guide. Evaporative Demand Drought Index. https://psl.noaa.gov/eddi/pdf/EDDI_UserGuide_v1.0.pdf
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Woodhouse, C. A., J. J. Lukas, K. Morino, D. M. Meko, and K. K. Hirschboeck (2016). Using the past to plan for the future – The value of paleoclimate reconstructions for water resource planning. In Water Policy and Planning in a Variable and Changing Climate, edited by K. Miller, A. Hamlet, D. Kenney, and K. Redmond. CRC Press, 452 pages doi.org/10.1201/b19534
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Lukas, J., E. McNie, T. Bardsley, J. Deems, and N. Molotch (2016). Snowpack Monitoring for Streamflow Forecasting and Drought Planning. Western Water Assessment report to NIDIS. Snowpack_Monitoring_for_Streamflow_Forecasting_and_Drought_Planning.pdf
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Finnessey, T., M. Hayes, J, Lukas, and M. Svoboda (2016). Using climate information for drought planning. Climate Research, Vol. 70, Pages 251-263 doi: 10.3354/cr01406
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Gordon, E., and D. Ojima, eds. (2015). Colorado Climate Change Vulnerability Study. A report submitted to the Colorado Energy Office. Western Water Assessment and Colorado State University. GordonOjima2015.pdf
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Lukas, J., Barsugli, J., Doesken, N., Rangwala, I., and K. Wolter, (2014). Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation. A Report for the Colorado Water Conservation Board, Western Water Assessment, 114 pp. Climate_Change_CO_Report_2014_FINAL.pdf
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Hoerling, M. P., M. Dettinger, K. Wolter, J. Lukas, J. Eischeid, R. Nemani, B. Liebmann, and K. E. Kunkel (2013). Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 74–100. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press. https://swcarr.arizona.edu/sites/default/files/ACCSWUS_Ch5_0.pdf
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Lukas, J., Wolter, K., Mahoney, K., Barsugli, J., Doesken, N., Ryan, W., Rangwala, I., Livneh, B., Gordon, E., Hoerling, M., and G. Kiladis (2013). Severe Flooding on the Colorado Front Range, September 2013: A Preliminary Assessment. Western Water Assessment. Severe Flooding on the Colorado Front Range.pdf
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Lukas, J. (2013). September 2013 Front Range Flooding Event: Weather, Hydrologic Impacts, Context of a Changing Climate, Implications. Colorado Water, 30:6. https://watercenter.colostate.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/33/gravity_forms/37-0e3f4abe92956857fd22d8d51e0a8658/2019/06/NovDec30_6.pdf
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Lukas, J., L. Wade, B. Rajagopalan (2012). Paleohydrology of the Lower Colorado River Basin and Implications for Water Supply Availability. Colorado Water Institute - Completion Report CR223, 37 pp.
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Lukas, J., L. Wade, B. Rajagopalan (2012). Paleohydrology of the Lower Colorado River Basin and Implications for Water Supply Availability. Colorado Water, Vol. 29, No. 6. November/December 2012 , 3 pp.
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Gray, S.T., J. J. Lukas, and C. A. Woodhouse (2011). Millennial-Length Records of Streamflow from Three Major Upper Colorado River Tributaries. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 47(4): 702-712.
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Klein, R., E. S. Gordon, W. R. Travis, J. J. Lukas, B. Udall, K. Averyt, J. Vogel, and J. Smith (2011). Colorado Climate Preparedness Project Final Report. Report to the State of Colorado. 108 pp. Colorado Climate Preparedness Project Final Report.pdf
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Rice, J., C. Woodhouse, and J. Lukas (2009). Science and decision-making: Water management and tree-ring data in the western United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 45(5): 1248-1259.
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Gangopadhyay, S., B. Harding, B. Rajagopalan, J. Lukas, and T. Fulp (2009). A Non-Parametric Approach for Paleohydrologic Reconstruction of Annual Streamflow Ensembles. Water Resources Research, 45, W06417.
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Averyt, K., J. Lukas, C. Alvord, J. Barsugli, and N. Doesken (2009). The “Dealing with Drought: Adapting to a Changing Climate” Workshops: Report to the Colorado Water Conservation Board.
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Meko, D., C. Woodhouse, C. Baisan, T. Knight, J. Lukas, M. Hughes, and M. Salzer (2007). Medieval Drought in the Upper Colorado River basin. Geophysical Research Letters, 34: L10705.
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Woodhouse, C. and J. Lukas (2006). Drought, Tree Rings, and Water Resource Management in Colorado. Canadian Water Resources Journal, 31(4): 1-14.
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Woodhouse, C. and J. Lukas (2006). Multi-century tree-ring reconstructions of Colorado streamflow for water resource planning. Climatic Change, 78: 293-315.
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Pielke, R. A., N. Doesken, O. Bliss, T. Green, C. Chaffin, J.D. Salas, C.A. Woodhouse, J.J. Lukas, and K. Wolter (2005). Drought in 2002 in Colorado: An Unprecedented Drought or a Routine Drought? Pure and Applied Geophysics, 162: 1455-1479.