Development of models and other tools capable of understanding how decision deal with hydro-climatic uncertainty in climate adaptation, including response to droughts
This project seeks to develop and apply decision analysis to adaptation of climate-sensitive activities in the WWA region. It fits in between vulnerability assessments and empirical studies of adaptation, providing a modeling “test bed” to develop hypothesis and test hypotheses about how decision makers might respond to climate variation and change in specific resource management systems. Particular attention is given to adaptation decisions in response to extreme climate events. The project effort is guided by attention to decision analysis and decision support in the latest National Climate Assessment.
W.R. Travis and M. Huisenga (2013) The Effect of Rate of Change, Variability, and Extreme Events on the Pace of Adaptation to a Changing Climate. Climatic Change 121: 209–222. DOI 10.1007/s10584-013-0876-3