Western Water Assessment
Jeff Lukas joined WWA as full-time staff in July 2009, and has been on the WWA research team since 2004. His diverse research and outreach activities reflect the program’s broad mandate to collaborate with water resources managers and other stakeholders to better understand and plan for climate-related vulnerabilities in the Rocky Mountain West. In 2014, he led the revision of the WWA’s 2008 Climate Change in Colorado report to the Colorado Water Conservation Board, synthesizing the latest science on observed climate trends and climate projections for Colorado. He was also a chapter author for the Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States, a technical input to the Third National Climate Assessment. In his longest-running research thread, he has facilitated the use of multi-century tree-ring reconstructions of past climate and hydrology in water planning in the interior West (see the TreeFlow web resource). Jeff has a BA in Geography from the University of Colorado and an MS in Forestry from the University of Montana.
Selected Recent Publications
Lukas, J., Barsugli, J., Doesken, N., Rangwala, I., and K. Wolter (2014). Climate Change in Colorado: A Synthesis to Support Water Resources Management and Adaptation. A Report for the Colorado Water Conservation Board. Western Water Assessment.
Hoerling, M. P., M. Dettinger, K. Wolter, J. Lukas, J. Eischeid, R. Nemani, B. Liebmann, and K. E. Kunkel (2013). Present Weather and Climate: Evolving Conditions. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, edited by G. Garfin, A. Jardine, R. Merideth, M. Black, and S. LeRoy, 74–100. A report by the Southwest Climate Alliance. Washington, DC: Island Press.
Lukas, J., L. Wade, B. Rajagopalan (2012). Paleohydrology of the Lower Colorado River Basin and Implications for Water Supply Availability. Colorado Water Institute - Completion Report CR223, 37 pp.
Gray, S.T., J. J. Lukas, and C. A. Woodhouse. (2011). Millennial-Length Records of Streamflow from Three Major Upper Colorado River Tributaries. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 47(4): 702-712.
Klein, R., E. S. Gordon, W. R. Travis, J. J. Lukas, B. Udall, K. Averyt, J. Vogel, and J. Smith. (2011). Colorado Climate Preparedness Project Final Report. 108 pp.
Rice, J., C. Woodhouse, and J. Lukas. (2009). Science and decision-making: Water management and tree-ring data in the western United States. Journal of the American Water Resources Association 45(5): 1248-1259.
Selected Recent Presentations
“Assessing the future climate risk to Upper Colorado River Basin water supply: results from the most recent studies”
Wyoming State Water Forum, Cheyenne, WY, May 1, 2012
“Bark beetle impacts on Colorado water supplies: Still waiting for the shoe to drop?”
American Water Resources Association (AWRA) Colorado Chapter Luncheon, Denver Water, Denver, C, January 31, 2012
“Natural hydroclimatic variability – the long view from tree-ring paleo records”
UCAR COMET Advanced Hydrological Sciences Virtual Course, Boulder, CO, August 18, 2011